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Fashion Retail

UrbanStyle

How a fashion retailer conquered the seasonality challenge with trend-aware AI forecasting and strategic markdown optimization.

32%
Less Write-offs
18%
Higher Sell-through
₹80L
Recovered Revenue

Company Overview

UrbanStyle is a contemporary fashion retailer catering to young professionals, operating 8 stores in major metros along with a thriving online business. Their fast-fashion model means new collections every 6-8 weeks, creating constant pressure on inventory management.

8
Stores + Online
6-8
Collections/Year
₹45Cr
Annual Revenue

The Challenge

Fashion retail is unforgiving. A style that's hot in September is worthless by November. UrbanStyle was struggling with the industry's core dilemma: buy too much, you're stuck with dead inventory; buy too little, you miss the trend window.

High Fashion Write-offs

End-of-season clearances were painful. Styles that didn't sell at full price were marked down 50%, then 70%, and still sat on shelves. Annual write-offs exceeded ₹2.5Cr — inventory that was eventually donated or destroyed.

Poor Trend Prediction

The buying team relied on fashion shows, social media intuition, and past experience. Sometimes they nailed it; sometimes they bought heavily into trends that never caught on in their market.

Slow Markdown Response

Markdowns happened on a fixed calendar (mid-season sale, end-of-season sale) regardless of actual inventory health. Fast-moving styles got discounted when they didn't need to be; slow movers weren't marked down early enough.

"In fashion, timing is everything. You have maybe 8 weeks to sell a style at full price. Wait too long to markdown, and you're giving it away. Go too early, and you're throwing away margin."

— Ananya Reddy, Merchandising Director, UrbanStyle

The Solution

UrbanStyle implemented Decisio with a fashion-specific approach:

1. Trend-Aware Forecasting

Orion incorporated fashion-specific signals that traditional forecasting ignores:

  • Social media trend detection (Instagram, Pinterest style tracking)
  • Initial velocity analysis (how fast styles sell in first 2 weeks)
  • Similar style performance (using visual AI to find pattern matches)
  • Regional preferences (metro vs tier-2 style differences)

2. Dynamic Markdown Optimization

Astra recommended markdown timing and depth based on actual sell-through curves, not calendar dates:

  • Early warning for underperforming styles (week 3-4 alerts)
  • Optimal markdown depth to maximize recovery value
  • Channel-specific recommendations (stores vs online)

3. Buying Recommendations

For future seasons, Decisio analyzed what worked and what didn't, providing input for buying decisions:

  • Style attribute analysis (what colors, patterns, fits performed)
  • Price point optimization by category
  • Quantity recommendations based on predicted sell-through

Markdown Strategy Transformation

Before: Fixed Calendar
  • • Mid-season: 30% off everything
  • • End-of-season: 50% off remaining
  • • Final clearance: 70% off dead stock
After: AI-Driven
  • • Style-specific timing based on velocity
  • • Optimal discount depth per SKU
  • • Continuous vs batch markdowns

Results After 6 Months

Inventory Health

  • Write-offs reduced by 32% — from ₹2.5Cr to ₹1.7Cr
  • Full-price sell-through improved by 18%
  • End-of-season carryover inventory down 40%

Revenue Recovery

  • ₹80L in additional revenue from optimized markdowns
  • Average selling price improved despite more discounting
  • Gross margin improved 2.1 percentage points

Process Improvement

  • Early trend identification — spot winners and losers in week 3
  • Buying team uses AI insights for order quantity decisions
  • Store managers get style-specific markdown recommendations

"The biggest mindset shift was accepting that not everything needs to follow the same markdown calendar. A slow-moving dress should be discounted in week 4, not week 10. That single insight saved us crores."

— Ananya Reddy, Merchandising Director, UrbanStyle

Key Insights for Fashion Retail

  • Velocity is destiny: First 2-week performance predicts final sell-through
  • One-size-fits-all markdowns fail: Each style needs its own strategy
  • Early markdown beats deep markdown: 20% off in week 4 > 50% off in week 10
  • Channel matters: Online can handle different markdown strategies than stores

Transform Your Fashion Retail Operations

See how Decisio can help you master seasonality and optimize markdowns.